538 Latest Polls 2024 Map. 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972. Candidates can't be selected if they start off with less than a 1.5% chance of winning that state.
The 538 probabilistic forecast model relaunched friday, updated to reflect a harris vs. 538 ranks current polls by accuracy and gives more weight to polls deemed more reliable and.